Pick.Markets started with a simple observation: prediction markets are the most accurate forecasting tool humans have ever built — and almost nobody outside of finance Twitter and crypto circles knows they exist.
We got fascinated by Polymarket during the 2024 US election cycle, when it called Trump's victory at 65% while every poll said 50/50. That moment proved something we already suspected: when people put real money behind their beliefs, the collective result beats expert opinion every time.
So we built this site. A place to track the most interesting markets, explain how prediction markets work to newcomers, and publish our own analysis of what the odds actually mean. We're not financial advisors, analysts, or Wall Street professionals. We're just a small team that follows this space closely and thinks it deserves more attention.
Honesty Over Hype
We call markets as we see them, including when we think the odds are overpriced. We track our prediction record publicly — wins and losses. No cherry-picking.
Education First
We explain every concept in plain language. No assumed knowledge, no jargon. If you're completely new to prediction markets, this site is built for you.
Transparency
We openly disclose that we earn referral fees if you sign up for Polymarket through our links. That relationship doesn't change our analysis — but you deserve to know it exists.
Responsible Trading
We never encourage people to bet more than they can afford to lose. Every page on this site carries a disclaimer. Prediction markets are tools for analysis — not get-rich-quick schemes.
Daily Market News — five news stories connected to live Polymarket markets, updated every day.
Daily Predictions — three markets we find interesting, with our analysis and a clear YES/NO verdict. We track every prediction publicly.
Guides — beginner-focused explainers on how prediction markets work, how to deposit, how to read odds, and more.
Leaderboard & Upsets — the biggest markets by volume each week, and the most shocking historical outcomes that nobody saw coming.
Affiliate Relationship
Pick.Markets participates in Polymarket's referral program. If you create a Polymarket account through any link on this site, we may earn a commission at no cost to you. This is how we fund the site and keep all content free.
This referral relationship does not influence our analysis, predictions, or editorial decisions. We would cover Polymarket regardless — it is genuinely the platform we use and believe in. But you deserve to know the relationship exists.
Pick.Markets is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected to Polymarket. We are an independent publication. All content on this site is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.